Takeover Tracker
vs

25 shared · 67 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricAirline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight EngineersSubway and Streetcar Operators
Risk Score34.3%52.4%
Risk TierMedium RiskHigh Risk
Risk Percentile63th98th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 1510 / 12
Median Salary$226,600$84,830
Employment99K9K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Controlling Machines and Processes
Analyzing Data or Information
Processing Information
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Spatial Orientation
Response Orientation
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Operation and Control
Transportation
Computers and Electronics

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers

34%

total discount

Subway and Streetcar Operators

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers

6 of 15 at risk
88%Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.
86%Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.
86%Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.
84%Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.
82%Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

Subway and Streetcar Operators

10 of 12 at risk
89%Make announcements to passengers, such as notifications of upcoming stops or schedule delays.
89%Collect fares from passengers, and issue change and transfers.
89%Record transactions and coin receptor readings to verify the amount of money collected.
87%Regulate vehicle speed and the time spent at each stop to maintain schedules.
87%Report delays, mechanical problems, and emergencies to supervisors or dispatchers, using radios.

Wage Comparison

Subway and Streetcar Operators earns -$141,770(-63%) vs Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers
Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight EngineersSubway and Streetcar Operators
10th
$98,560$52,260
25th
$154,360$59,500
Median
$226,600$84,830
75th
$239,200$87,940
90th
$239,200$87,940

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers20282035
Subway and Streetcar Operators20282035
20242030203520402045

Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Subway and Streetcar Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers

$148,944

from $226,600

Subway and Streetcar Operators

$40,421

from $84,830

After adjusting for AI risk, Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers offers $108,523 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Airline

0

Unique to Subway

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight EngineersSubway and Streetcar Operators