Takeover Tracker
29%medium risk
Art Directors
vs

49 shared · 26 different

core competencies

37%medium risk
Graphic Designers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricArt DirectorsGraphic Designers
Risk Score29.4%37.1%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile35th73th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 1511 / 15
Median Salary$111,040$61,300
Employment50K214K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Scheduling Work and Activities
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Sales and Marketing
Administration and Management
Sociology and Anthropology
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Interacting With Computers
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Art Directors

33%

total discount

Graphic Designers

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Art Directors

7 of 15 at risk
84%Review illustrative material to determine if it conforms to standards and specifications.
76%Manage own accounts and projects, working within budget and scheduling requirements.
70%Mark up, paste, and complete layouts and write typography instructions to prepare materials for typesetting or printing.
53%Conceptualize and help design interfaces for multimedia games, products, and devices.
53%Formulate basic layout design or presentation approach and specify material details, such as style and size of type, photographs, graphics, animation, video, and sound.

Graphic Designers

11 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain archive of images, photos, or previous work products.
85%Key information into computer equipment to create layouts for client or supervisor.
84%Prepare digital files for printing.
61%Write or edit copy for clients.
57%Draw and print charts, graphs, illustrations, and other artwork, using computer.

Wage Comparison

Graphic Designers earns -$49,740(-45%) vs Art Directors
Art DirectorsGraphic Designers
10th
$61,060$37,600
25th
$80,130$47,200
Median
$111,040$61,300
75th
$160,460$79,000
90th
$211,410$103,030

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Art Directors20282035
Graphic Designers20282035
20242030203520402045

Art Directors has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Graphic Designers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Art Directors

$78,428

from $111,040

Graphic Designers

$38,545

from $61,300

After adjusting for AI risk, Art Directors offers $39,882 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Art

0

Unique to Graphic

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Art DirectorsGraphic Designers