Takeover Tracker
34%medium risk
Bartenders
vs

57 shared · 10 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricBartendersCooks, Institution and Cafeteria
Risk Score34.3%39.8%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile63th80th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 159 / 15
Median Salary$33,530$36,450
Employment746K448K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

English Language
Controlling Machines and Processes
Customer and Personal Service
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Selling or Influencing Others
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Training and Teaching Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Bartenders

30%

total discount

Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Bartenders

5 of 15 at risk
88%Balance cash receipts.
87%Collect money for drinks served.
86%Order or requisition liquors and supplies.
79%Check identification of customers to verify age requirements for purchase of alcohol.
53%Serve wine, and bottled or draft beer.

Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria

9 of 15 at risk
87%Compile and maintain records of food use and expenditures.
86%Monitor use of government food commodities to ensure that proper procedures are followed.
86%Monitor menus and spending to ensure that meals are prepared economically.
80%Monitor and record food temperatures to ensure safety of food.
78%Take inventory of supplies and equipment.

Wage Comparison

Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria earns +$2,920(+9%) vs Bartenders
BartendersCooks, Institution and Cafeteria
10th
$19,930$26,800
25th
$25,790$30,530
Median
$33,530$36,450
75th
$46,790$42,860
90th
$71,920$48,320

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Bartenders20282035
Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria20282035
20242030203520402045

Bartenders has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Bartenders

$22,039

from $33,530

Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria

$21,950

from $36,450

After adjusting for AI risk, Bartenders offers $89 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Bartenders

0

Unique to Cooks,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
BartendersCooks, Institution and Cafeteria