Takeover Tracker
34%medium risk
Bartenders
vs

49 shared · 21 different

core competencies

32%medium risk
Cooks, Restaurant

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricBartendersCooks, Restaurant
Risk Score34.3%31.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile63th48th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$33,530$36,830
Employment746K1.5M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Food Production
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Controlling Machines and Processes
Customer and Personal Service
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Service OrientationAI-Resistant
Selling or Influencing Others
Production and Processing
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Oral Comprehension
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Bartenders

30%

total discount

Cooks, Restaurant

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Bartenders

5 of 15 at risk
88%Balance cash receipts.
87%Collect money for drinks served.
86%Order or requisition liquors and supplies.
79%Check identification of customers to verify age requirements for purchase of alcohol.
53%Serve wine, and bottled or draft beer.

Cooks, Restaurant

5 of 15 at risk
86%Estimate expected food consumption, requisition or purchase supplies, or procure food from storage.
77%Ensure freshness of food and ingredients by checking for quality, keeping track of old and new items, and rotating stock.
71%Ensure food is stored and cooked at correct temperature by regulating temperature of ovens, broilers, grills, and roasters.
59%Weigh, measure, and mix ingredients according to recipes or personal judgment, using various kitchen utensils and equipment.
58%Bake, roast, broil, and steam meats, fish, vegetables, and other foods.

Wage Comparison

Cooks, Restaurant earns +$3,300(+10%) vs Bartenders
BartendersCooks, Restaurant
10th
$19,930$28,010
25th
$25,790$31,310
Median
$33,530$36,830
75th
$46,790$43,610
90th
$71,920$47,340

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Bartenders20282035
Cooks, Restaurant20282035
20242030203520402045

Cooks, Restaurant has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Bartenders.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Bartenders

$22,039

from $33,530

Cooks, Restaurant

$25,192

from $36,830

After adjusting for AI risk, Cooks, Restaurant offers $3,152 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Bartenders

0

Unique to Cooks,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Decision Complexity
BartendersCooks, Restaurant