Takeover Tracker
45%medium risk
Cashiers
vs

61 shared · 7 different

core competencies

34%medium risk
Bartenders

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCashiersBartenders
Risk Score44.7%34.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile91th63th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)9 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$31,190$33,530
Employment3.1M746K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

English Language
Controlling Machines and Processes
Education and Training
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Thinking Creatively
Clerical
Manual DexterityAI-Resistant

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Cashiers

25%

total discount

Bartenders

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Cashiers

9 of 15 at risk
88%Calculate total payments received during a time period, and reconcile this with total sales.
88%Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.
86%Issue receipts, refunds, credits, or change due to customers.
86%Issue trading stamps and redeem food stamps and coupons.
84%Monitor checkout stations to ensure that they have adequate cash available and that they are staffed appropriately.

Bartenders

5 of 15 at risk
88%Balance cash receipts.
87%Collect money for drinks served.
86%Order or requisition liquors and supplies.
79%Check identification of customers to verify age requirements for purchase of alcohol.
53%Serve wine, and bottled or draft beer.

Wage Comparison

Bartenders earns +$2,340(+8%) vs Cashiers
CashiersBartenders
10th
$23,070$19,930
25th
$27,780$25,790
Median
$31,190$33,530
75th
$35,410$46,790
90th
$38,220$71,920

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Cashiers20282035
Bartenders20282035
20242030203520402045

Bartenders has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Cashiers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Cashiers

$17,239

from $31,190

Bartenders

$22,039

from $33,530

After adjusting for AI risk, Bartenders offers $4,801 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Cashiers

0

Unique to Bartenders

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
CashiersBartenders