Takeover Tracker
26%medium risk
Chief Executives
vs

42 shared · 51 different

core competencies

34%medium risk
Purchasing Managers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricChief ExecutivesPurchasing Managers
Risk Score26.3%33.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile23th60th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$206,420$139,510
Employment212K81K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Judgment and Decision MakingAI-Augmented
Complex Problem SolvingAI-Resistant
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Systems AnalysisAI-Augmented
Management of Financial Resources
Systems Evaluation
Administration and Management
MonitoringAI-Augmented
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Management of Personnel Resources
Developing Objectives and Strategies

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Chief Executives

37%

total discount

Purchasing Managers

33%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Chief Executives

6 of 15 at risk
77%Refer major policy matters to elected representatives for final decisions.
55%Direct, plan, or implement policies, objectives, or activities of organizations or businesses to ensure continuing operations, to maximize returns on investments, or to increase productivity.
51%Analyze operations to evaluate performance of a company or its staff in meeting objectives or to determine areas of potential cost reduction, program improvement, or policy change.
51%Prepare budgets for approval, including those for funding or implementation of programs.
51%Coordinate the development or implementation of budgetary control systems, recordkeeping systems, or other administrative control processes.

Purchasing Managers

8 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain records of goods ordered and received.
87%Review purchase order claims and contracts for conformance to company policy.
85%Prepare bid awards requiring board approval.
73%Administer online purchasing systems.
71%Prepare and process requisitions and purchase orders for supplies and equipment.

Wage Comparison

Purchasing Managers earns -$66,910(-32%) vs Chief Executives
Chief ExecutivesPurchasing Managers
10th
$73,710$85,500
25th
$126,080$107,430
Median
$206,420$139,510
75th
$239,200$175,460
90th
$239,200$219,140

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Chief Executives2028–2035
Purchasing Managers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Chief Executives has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Purchasing Managers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Chief Executives

$152,214

from $206,420

Purchasing Managers

$92,467

from $139,510

After adjusting for AI risk, Chief Executives offers $59,747 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Chief

0

Unique to Purchasing

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Chief ExecutivesPurchasing Managers
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