Takeover Tracker
vs

56 shared · 7 different

core competencies

20%low risk
Nannies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricChildcare WorkersNannies
Risk Score21.7%20.0%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile11th7th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$32,050$32,050
Employment520K520K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Assisting and Caring for Others
Customer and Personal Service
Social PerceptivenessAI-Resistant
MonitoringAI-Augmented
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Coaching and Developing Others
Trunk Strength

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Childcare Workers

30%

total discount

Nannies

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Childcare Workers

2 of 15 at risk
85%Perform general administrative tasks, such as taking attendance, editing internal paperwork, and making phone calls.
70%Keep records on individual children, including daily observations and information about activities, meals served, and medications administered.
45%Organize and store toys and materials to ensure order in activity areas.
45%Sterilize bottles and prepare formulas.
41%Sanitize toys and play equipment.

Nannies

2 of 15 at risk
74%Regulate children's rest periods and nap schedules.
52%Observe children's behavior for irregularities, take temperature, transport children to doctor, or administer medications, as directed, to maintain children's health.
45%Teach and perform age-appropriate activities, such as lap play, reading, and arts and crafts, to encourage intellectual development of children.
35%Remove hazards and develop appropriate boundaries and rules to create a safe environment for children.
35%Supervise and assist with homework.

Wage Comparison

Nannies earns $0(0%) vs Childcare Workers
Childcare WorkersNannies
10th
$22,900$22,900
25th
$28,000$28,000
Median
$32,050$32,050
75th
$36,960$36,960
90th
$44,560$44,560

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Childcare Workers20282035
Nannies20282035
20242030203520402045

Nannies has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Childcare Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Childcare Workers

$25,095

from $32,050

Nannies

$25,627

from $32,050

After adjusting for AI risk, Nannies offers $532 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Childcare

0

Unique to Nannies

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Childcare WorkersNannies