Takeover Tracker
vs

56 shared · 7 different

core competencies

20%low risk
Nannies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricChildcare WorkersNannies
Risk Score21.7%20.0%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile11th7th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$32,050$32,050
Employment520K520K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Assisting and Caring for Others
Customer and Personal Service
Social PerceptivenessAI-Resistant
MonitoringAI-Augmented
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Coaching and Developing Others
Trunk Strength

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Childcare Workers

30%

total discount

Nannies

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Childcare Workers

2 of 15 at risk
85%Perform general administrative tasks, such as taking attendance, editing internal paperwork, and making phone calls.
70%Keep records on individual children, including daily observations and information about activities, meals served, and medications administered.
45%Organize and store toys and materials to ensure order in activity areas.
45%Sterilize bottles and prepare formulas.
41%Sanitize toys and play equipment.

Nannies

2 of 15 at risk
74%Regulate children's rest periods and nap schedules.
52%Observe children's behavior for irregularities, take temperature, transport children to doctor, or administer medications, as directed, to maintain children's health.
45%Teach and perform age-appropriate activities, such as lap play, reading, and arts and crafts, to encourage intellectual development of children.
35%Remove hazards and develop appropriate boundaries and rules to create a safe environment for children.
35%Supervise and assist with homework.

Wage Comparison

Nannies earns $0(0%) vs Childcare Workers
Childcare WorkersNannies
10th
$22,900$22,900
25th
$28,000$28,000
Median
$32,050$32,050
75th
$36,960$36,960
90th
$44,560$44,560

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Childcare Workers2028–2035
Nannies2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Nannies has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Childcare Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Childcare Workers

$25,095

from $32,050

Nannies

$25,627

from $32,050

After adjusting for AI risk, Nannies offers $532 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Childcare

0

Unique to Nannies

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Childcare WorkersNannies
Childcare Workers vs Nannies AI Risk — Takeover Tracker