Side-by-Side Comparison
Childcare Workers leads 4–1| Metric | Coaches and Scouts | Childcare Workers |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 29.4% | 21.7% |
| Risk Tier | Medium Risk | Low Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 35th | 11th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 9 / 15 | 2 / 15 |
| Median Salary | $45,920 | $32,050 |
| Employment | 251K | 520K |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Coaching and Developing Others
Performing General Physical Activities
Management of Personnel Resources
InstructingAI-Resistant
Training and Teaching Others
Selling or Influencing Others
Systems Evaluation
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Assisting and Caring for Others
Education and Training
MonitoringAI-Augmented
English Language
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Coaches and Scouts
36%
total discount
Childcare Workers
30%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Coaches and Scouts
9 of 15 at risk86%Monitor the academic eligibility of student athletes.
86%Develop and arrange competition schedules and programs.
70%Monitor athletes' use of equipment to ensure safe and proper use.
55%File scouting reports that detail player assessments, provide recommendations on athlete recruitment, and identify locations and individuals to be targeted for future recruitment efforts.
55%Plan and direct physical conditioning programs that will enable athletes to achieve maximum performance.
Childcare Workers
2 of 15 at risk85%Perform general administrative tasks, such as taking attendance, editing internal paperwork, and making phone calls.
70%Keep records on individual children, including daily observations and information about activities, meals served, and medications administered.
45%Organize and store toys and materials to ensure order in activity areas.
45%Sterilize bottles and prepare formulas.
41%Sanitize toys and play equipment.
Wage Comparison
Childcare Workers earns -$13,870(-30%) vs Coaches and Scouts
Coaches and ScoutsChildcare Workers
10th
$27,490$22,900
25th
$33,960$28,000
Median
$45,920$32,050
75th
$61,930$36,960
90th
$93,980$44,560
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Coaches and Scouts2028–2035
Childcare Workers2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Childcare Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Coaches and Scouts.
Risk-Adjusted Salary
Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)
Coaches and Scouts
$32,401
from $45,920
Childcare Workers
$25,095
from $32,050
After adjusting for AI risk, Coaches and Scouts offers $7,306 more in risk-adjusted pay.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Coaches
0
Unique to Childcare
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Coaches and ScoutsChildcare Workers