Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCoil Winders, Tapers, and FinishersLathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score39.7%39.5%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile79th79th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 116 / 15
Median Salary$47,260$48,620
Employment12K19K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Controlling Machines and Processes
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Design
Documenting/Recording Information
Education and Training
English Language
Production and Processing
Quality Control Analysis
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Static Strength
Interacting With Computers

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Coil Winders, Tapers, and Finishers

25%

total discount

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Coil Winders, Tapers, and Finishers

4 of 11 at risk
88%Record production and operational data on specified forms.
86%Review work orders and specifications to determine materials needed and types of parts to be processed.
76%Examine and test wired electrical components such as motors, armatures, and stators, using measuring devices, and record test results.
51%Operate or tend wire-coiling machines to wind wire coils used in electrical components such as resistors and transformers, and in electrical equipment and instruments such as bobbins and generators.
49%Select and load materials such as workpieces, objects, and machine parts onto equipment used in coiling processes.

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

6 of 15 at risk
88%Compute unspecified dimensions and machine settings, using knowledge of metal properties and shop mathematics.
86%Study blueprints, layouts or charts, and job orders for information on specifications and tooling instructions, and to determine material requirements and operational sequences.
86%Select cutting tools and tooling instructions, according to written specifications or knowledge of metal properties and shop mathematics.
85%Program computer numerical control machines.
74%Inspect sample workpieces to verify conformance with specifications, using instruments such as gauges, micrometers, and dial indicators.

Wage Comparison

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic earns +$1,360(+3%) vs Coil Winders, Tapers, and Finishers
Coil Winders, Tapers, and FinishersLathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
10th
$35,180$36,200
25th
$39,380$41,180
Median
$47,260$48,620
75th
$57,800$58,100
90th
$62,790$65,450

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Coil Winders, Tapers, and Finishers20282035
Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
20242030203520402045

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Coil Winders, Tapers, and Finishers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Coil Winders, Tapers, and Finishers

$28,503

from $47,260

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$29,391

from $48,620

After adjusting for AI risk, Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic offers $888 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Coil

0

Unique to Lathe

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Coil Winders, Tapers, and FinishersLathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic