Takeover Tracker
34%medium risk
Commercial Pilots
vs

41 shared · 51 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCommercial PilotsAmbulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians
Risk Score34.2%14.9%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile63th1th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)10 / 151 / 11
Median Salary$122,670$34,330
Employment52K12K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Transportation
Operation and Control
Controlling Machines and Processes
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Geography
Operation Monitoring
Far Vision
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Assisting and Caring for Others
Control Precision
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Response Orientation

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Commercial Pilots

32%

total discount

Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians

32%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Commercial Pilots

10 of 15 at risk
89%Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.
87%File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.
87%Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.
85%Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.
77%Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians

1 of 11 at risk
77%Report facts concerning accidents or emergencies to hospital personnel or law enforcement officials.
49%Earn and maintain appropriate certifications.
45%Replace supplies and disposable items on ambulances.
45%Clean and wash rigs, ambulances, or equipment.
43%Perform minor maintenance on emergency medical services vehicles, such as ambulances.

Wage Comparison

Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians earns -$88,340(-72%) vs Commercial Pilots
Commercial PilotsAmbulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians
10th
$59,330$25,460
25th
$81,660$29,580
Median
$122,670$34,330
75th
$175,050$38,000
90th
$239,200$46,630

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Commercial Pilots20282035
Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians20282035
20242030203520402045

Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Commercial Pilots.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Commercial Pilots

$80,729

from $122,670

Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians

$29,232

from $34,330

After adjusting for AI risk, Commercial Pilots offers $51,497 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Commercial

0

Unique to Ambulance

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Commercial PilotsAmbulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians