medium risk
Commercial Pilotsvs
18 shared · 60 different
core competencies
Side-by-Side Comparison
Bus Drivers, School or Special Client leads 4–0| Metric | Commercial Pilots | Bus Drivers, School or Special Client |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 34.2% | 24.8% |
| Risk Tier | Medium Risk | Low Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 63th | 19th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 10 / 15 | 7 / 15 |
| Median Salary | $122,670 | N/A |
| Employment | 52K | N/A |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Controlling Machines and Processes
Operation and Control
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Far Vision
Active LearningAI-Augmented
Problem Sensitivity
Customer and Personal Service
Transportation
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Commercial Pilots
32%
total discount
Bus Drivers, School or Special Client
26%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Commercial Pilots
10 of 15 at risk89%Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.
87%File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.
87%Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.
85%Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.
77%Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.
Bus Drivers, School or Special Client
7 of 15 at risk88%Record bus routes.
88%Prepare and submit reports that may include the number of passengers or trips, hours worked, mileage, fuel consumption, or fares received.
86%Report any bus malfunctions or needed repairs.
70%Report delinquent student behaviors to school administration.
70%Maintain knowledge of first-aid procedures.
Wage Comparison
Commercial PilotsBus Drivers, School or Special Client
10th
$59,330N/A
25th
$81,660N/A
Median
$122,670N/A
75th
$175,050N/A
90th
$239,200N/A
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Commercial Pilots2028–2035
Bus Drivers, School or Special Client2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Bus Drivers, School or Special Client has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Commercial Pilots.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Commercial
0
Unique to Bus
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Commercial PilotsBus Drivers, School or Special Client