Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricComputer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and PlasticManufacturing Production Technicians
Risk Score43.1%40.5%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile88th82th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)15 / 1510 / 15
Median SalaryN/A$77,390
EmploymentN/A64K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Equipment MaintenanceAI-Resistant
Controlling Machines and Processes
Computers and Electronics
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Repairing
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Mathematical Reasoning
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Engineering and Technology
Information OrderingAI-Vulnerable

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic

27%

total discount

Manufacturing Production Technicians

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic

15 of 15 at risk
87%Write instruction sheets and cutter lists for a machine's controller to guide setup and encode numerical control tapes.
87%Enter computer commands to store or retrieve parts patterns, graphic displays, or programs that transfer data to other media.
87%Sort shop orders into groups to maximize materials utilization and minimize machine setup time.
86%Order tooling for jobs.
85%Prepare geometric layouts from graphic displays, using computer-assisted drafting software or drafting instruments and graph paper.

Manufacturing Production Technicians

10 of 15 at risk
86%Plan and lay out work to meet production and schedule requirements.
82%Select cleaning materials, tools, or equipment.
78%Adhere to all applicable regulations, policies, and procedures for health, safety, and environmental compliance.
65%Inspect finished products for quality and adherence to customer specifications.
61%Test products or subassemblies for functionality or quality.

Wage Comparison

Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and PlasticManufacturing Production Technicians
10th
N/A$47,010
25th
N/A$59,700
Median
N/A$77,390
75th
N/A$97,760
90th
N/A$114,630

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic20282035
Manufacturing Production Technicians20282035
20242030203520402045

Manufacturing Production Technicians has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Computer

0

Unique to Manufacturing

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and PlasticManufacturing Production Technicians