Side-by-Side Comparison
Roofers leads 4–1| Metric | Construction Carpenters | Roofers |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 20.8% | 13.3% |
| Risk Tier | Low Risk | Low Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 8th | 0th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 7 / 15 | 2 / 15 |
| Median Salary | $59,310 | $50,970 |
| Employment | 698K | 137K |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Gross Body Equilibrium
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Coaching and Developing Others
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Training and Teaching Others
English Language
Selling or Influencing Others
Handling and Moving Objects
Mechanical
Thinking Creatively
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Construction Carpenters
28%
total discount
Roofers
28%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Construction Carpenters
7 of 15 at risk88%Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.
86%Select and order lumber or other required materials.
70%Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.
66%Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.
55%Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.
Roofers
2 of 15 at risk73%Estimate materials and labor required to complete roofing jobs.
53%Inspect problem roofs to determine the best repair procedures.
13%Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.
13%Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.
11%Remove snow, water, or debris from roofs prior to applying roofing materials.
Wage Comparison
Roofers earns -$8,340(-14%) vs Construction Carpenters
Construction CarpentersRoofers
10th
$38,760$37,060
25th
$47,550$45,300
Median
$59,310$50,970
75th
$75,620$64,010
90th
$98,370$80,780
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Construction Carpenters2028–2035
Roofers2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Roofers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Construction Carpenters.
Risk-Adjusted Salary
Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)
Construction Carpenters
$46,956
from $59,310
Roofers
$44,201
from $50,970
After adjusting for AI risk, Construction Carpenters offers $2,755 more in risk-adjusted pay.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Construction
0
Unique to Roofers
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Construction CarpentersRoofers