Takeover Tracker
32%medium risk
Cooks, Restaurant
vs

43 shared · 16 different

core competencies

37%medium risk
Bakers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCooks, RestaurantBakers
Risk Score31.6%36.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile48th71th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$36,830$36,650
Employment1.5M232K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Handling and Moving Objects
Production and Processing
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Performing General Physical Activities
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Analyzing Data or Information
Developing and Building Teams
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Processing Information
Scheduling Work and Activities
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Cooks, Restaurant

28%

total discount

Bakers

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Cooks, Restaurant

5 of 15 at risk
86%Estimate expected food consumption, requisition or purchase supplies, or procure food from storage.
77%Ensure freshness of food and ingredients by checking for quality, keeping track of old and new items, and rotating stock.
71%Ensure food is stored and cooked at correct temperature by regulating temperature of ovens, broilers, grills, and roasters.
59%Weigh, measure, and mix ingredients according to recipes or personal judgment, using various kitchen utensils and equipment.
58%Bake, roast, broil, and steam meats, fish, vegetables, and other foods.

Bakers

8 of 15 at risk
85%Direct or coordinate bakery deliveries.
73%Adapt the quantity of ingredients to match the amount of items to be baked.
65%Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.
63%Operate slicing or wrapping machines.
61%Check products for quality and identify damaged or expired goods.

Wage Comparison

Bakers earns -$180(0%) vs Cooks, Restaurant
Cooks, RestaurantBakers
10th
$28,010$27,560
25th
$31,310$31,470
Median
$36,830$36,650
75th
$43,610$42,570
90th
$47,340$48,260

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Cooks, Restaurant20282035
Bakers20282035
20242030203520402045

Cooks, Restaurant has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Bakers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Cooks, Restaurant

$25,192

from $36,830

Bakers

$23,225

from $36,650

After adjusting for AI risk, Cooks, Restaurant offers $1,967 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Cooks,

0

Unique to Bakers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Cooks, RestaurantBakers