Takeover Tracker
30%medium risk
Correctional Officers and Jailers
vs

56 shared · 24 different

core competencies

24%low risk
Occupational Therapy Aides

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCorrectional Officers and JailersOccupational Therapy Aides
Risk Score30.2%24.2%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile40th17th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$57,970$37,370
Employment365K5K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Public Safety and Security
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Law and Government
Assisting and Caring for Others
Computers and Electronics
Administration and Management
Handling and Moving Objects
Transportation
Clerical
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Therapy and Counseling
Inductive Reasoning

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Correctional Officers and Jailers

33%

total discount

Occupational Therapy Aides

32%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Correctional Officers and Jailers

7 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain records of prisoners' identification and charges.
86%Process or book convicted individuals into prison.
86%Record information, such as prisoner identification, charges, and incidences of inmate disturbance, and keep daily logs of prisoner activities.
80%Conduct head counts to ensure that each prisoner is present.
78%Guard facility entrances to screen visitors.

Occupational Therapy Aides

5 of 15 at risk
84%Perform clerical, administrative, and secretarial duties, such as answering phones, restocking and ordering supplies, filling out paperwork, and scheduling appointments.
80%Report to supervisors or therapists, verbally or in writing, on patients' progress, attitudes, attendance, and accomplishments.
78%Assist educational specialists or clinical psychologists in administering situational or diagnostic tests to measure client's abilities or progress.
68%Observe patients' attendance, progress, attitudes, and accomplishments and record and maintain information in client records.
53%Prepare and maintain work area, materials, and equipment and maintain inventory of treatment and educational supplies.

Wage Comparison

Occupational Therapy Aides earns -$20,600(-36%) vs Correctional Officers and Jailers
Correctional Officers and JailersOccupational Therapy Aides
10th
$41,750$27,970
25th
$47,520$34,840
Median
$57,970$37,370
75th
$75,330$44,190
90th
$93,000$65,580

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Correctional Officers and Jailers2028–2035
Occupational Therapy Aides2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Occupational Therapy Aides has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Correctional Officers and Jailers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Correctional Officers and Jailers

$40,446

from $57,970

Occupational Therapy Aides

$28,338

from $37,370

After adjusting for AI risk, Correctional Officers and Jailers offers $12,108 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Correctional

0

Unique to Occupational

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Correctional Officers and JailersOccupational Therapy Aides
Find transitions from Correctional Officers and JailersFind transitions from Occupational Therapy Aides