Takeover Tracker
30%medium risk
Correctional Officers and Jailers
vs

51 shared · 30 different

core competencies

38%medium risk
Security Guards

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCorrectional Officers and JailersSecurity Guards
Risk Score30.2%38.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile40th76th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 156 / 14
Median Salary$57,970$38,370
Employment365K1.2M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Public Safety and Security
Law and Government
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Computers and Electronics
Administration and Management
Clerical
Social PerceptivenessAI-Resistant
Scheduling Work and Activities
Speech Clarity
Transportation
Psychology
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Correctional Officers and Jailers

33%

total discount

Security Guards

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Correctional Officers and Jailers

7 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain records of prisoners' identification and charges.
86%Process or book convicted individuals into prison.
86%Record information, such as prisoner identification, charges, and incidences of inmate disturbance, and keep daily logs of prisoner activities.
80%Conduct head counts to ensure that each prisoner is present.
78%Guard facility entrances to screen visitors.

Security Guards

6 of 14 at risk
86%Monitor and authorize entrance and departure of employees, visitors, and other persons to guard against theft and maintain security of premises.
86%Write reports of daily activities and irregularities, such as equipment or property damage, theft, presence of unauthorized persons, or unusual occurrences.
86%Monitor and adjust controls that regulate building systems, such as air conditioning, furnace, or boiler.
85%Call police or fire departments in cases of emergency, such as fire or presence of unauthorized persons.
61%Answer telephone calls to take messages, answer questions, and provide information during non-business hours or when switchboard is closed.

Wage Comparison

Security Guards earns -$19,600(-34%) vs Correctional Officers and Jailers
Correctional Officers and JailersSecurity Guards
10th
$41,750$29,800
25th
$47,520$35,100
Median
$57,970$38,370
75th
$75,330$46,660
90th
$93,000$59,580

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Correctional Officers and Jailers2028–2035
Security Guards2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Correctional Officers and Jailers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Security Guards.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Correctional Officers and Jailers

$40,446

from $57,970

Security Guards

$23,693

from $38,370

After adjusting for AI risk, Correctional Officers and Jailers offers $16,752 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Correctional

0

Unique to Security

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Correctional Officers and JailersSecurity Guards
Find transitions from Correctional Officers and JailersFind transitions from Security Guards