Takeover Tracker
vs

39 shared · 10 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCouriers and MessengersLaborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
Risk Score38.9%45.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile77th92th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)10 / 1512 / 15
Median Salary$38,340$38,940
Employment72K3M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities
Customer and Personal Service
Handling and Moving Objects
Getting Information
Static Strength
Documenting/Recording Information
Transportation
Controlling Machines and Processes
Trunk Strength
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Couriers and Messengers

24%

total discount

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand

23%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Couriers and Messengers

10 of 15 at risk
88%Check with home offices after completed deliveries to confirm deliveries and collections and to receive instructions for other deliveries.
86%Receive messages or materials to be delivered, and information on recipients, such as names, addresses, telephone numbers, and delivery instructions, communicated via telephone, two-way radio, or in person.
85%Obtain signatures and payments, or arrange for recipients to make payments.
80%Perform general office or clerical work such as filing materials, operating duplicating machines, or running errands.
72%Plan and follow the most efficient routes for delivering goods.

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand

12 of 15 at risk
88%Record numbers of units handled or moved, using daily production sheets or work tickets.
86%Read work orders or receive oral instructions to determine work assignments or material or equipment needs.
85%Check freight, stock, or other materials for damage.
84%Take inventory of freight, stock, or other materials used on site.
61%Move freight, stock, or other materials to and from storage or production areas, loading docks, delivery vehicles, ships, or containers, by hand or using trucks, tractors, or other equipment.

Wage Comparison

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand earns +$600(+2%) vs Couriers and Messengers
Couriers and MessengersLaborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
10th
$29,880$30,810
25th
$35,130$35,410
Median
$38,340$38,940
75th
$44,630$46,370
90th
$50,590$53,180

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Couriers and Messengers20282035
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand20282035
20242030203520402045

Couriers and Messengers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Couriers and Messengers

$23,433

from $38,340

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand

$21,304

from $38,940

After adjusting for AI risk, Couriers and Messengers offers $2,129 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Couriers

0

Unique to Laborers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Couriers and MessengersLaborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand