Takeover Tracker
27%medium risk
Criminal Investigators and Special Agents
vs

55 shared · 23 different

core competencies

33%medium risk
Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCriminal Investigators and Special AgentsProbation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists
Risk Score26.7%33.2%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile24th58th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$93,580$64,520
Employment111K87K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Therapy and Counseling
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Performing General Physical Activities
Analyzing Data or Information
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Far Vision
Personnel and Human Resources
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Sociology and Anthropology
Flexibility of Closure
MonitoringAI-Augmented

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

38%

total discount

Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists

33%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

4 of 15 at risk
70%Obtain and use search and arrest warrants.
69%Prepare reports that detail investigation findings.
57%Examine records to locate links in chains of evidence or information.
53%Identify case issues and evidence needed, based on analysis of charges, complaints, or allegations of law violations.
49%Analyze evidence in laboratories or in the field.

Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists

5 of 15 at risk
85%Write reports describing offenders' progress.
84%Prepare and maintain case folder for each assigned inmate or offender.
82%Inform offenders or inmates of requirements of conditional release, such as office visits, restitution payments, or educational and employment stipulations.
80%Arrange for medical, mental health, or substance abuse treatment services according to individual needs or court orders.
80%Arrange for postrelease services, such as employment, housing, counseling, education, and social activities.

Wage Comparison

Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists earns -$29,060(-31%) vs Criminal Investigators and Special Agents
Criminal Investigators and Special AgentsProbation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists
10th
$54,160$45,390
25th
$68,390$52,580
Median
$93,580$64,520
75th
$120,080$84,030
90th
$159,410$106,290

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents2028–2035
Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

$68,557

from $93,580

Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists

$43,074

from $64,520

After adjusting for AI risk, Criminal Investigators and Special Agents offers $25,483 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Criminal

0

Unique to Probation

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Criminal Investigators and Special AgentsProbation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists
Find transitions from Criminal Investigators and Special AgentsFind transitions from Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists