Takeover Tracker
27%medium risk
Criminal Investigators and Special Agents
vs

70 shared · 26 different

core competencies

25%low risk
Transit and Railroad Police

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCriminal Investigators and Special AgentsTransit and Railroad Police
Risk Score26.7%24.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile24th18th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 153 / 14
Median Salary$93,580$82,320
Employment111K3K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Performing General Physical Activities
Analyzing Data or Information
Getting Information
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Thinking Creatively
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Transportation
Assisting and Caring for Others
Coaching and Developing Others
Trunk Strength

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

38%

total discount

Transit and Railroad Police

37%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

4 of 15 at risk
70%Obtain and use search and arrest warrants.
69%Prepare reports that detail investigation findings.
57%Examine records to locate links in chains of evidence or information.
53%Identify case issues and evidence needed, based on analysis of charges, complaints, or allegations of law violations.
49%Analyze evidence in laboratories or in the field.

Transit and Railroad Police

3 of 14 at risk
87%Examine credentials of unauthorized persons attempting to enter secured areas.
87%Record and verify seal numbers from boxcars containing frequently pilfered items, such as cigarettes or liquor, to detect tampering.
86%Prepare reports documenting investigation activities and results.
47%Investigate or direct investigations of freight theft, suspicious damage or loss of passengers' valuables, or other crimes on railroad property.
47%Seal empty boxcars by twisting nails in door hasps, using nail twisters.

Wage Comparison

Transit and Railroad Police earns -$11,260(-12%) vs Criminal Investigators and Special Agents
Criminal Investigators and Special AgentsTransit and Railroad Police
10th
$54,160$58,370
25th
$68,390$65,920
Median
$93,580$82,320
75th
$120,080$114,040
90th
$159,410$141,870

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents2028–2035
Transit and Railroad Police2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Transit and Railroad Police has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Criminal Investigators and Special Agents.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

$68,557

from $93,580

Transit and Railroad Police

$62,020

from $82,320

After adjusting for AI risk, Criminal Investigators and Special Agents offers $6,537 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Criminal

0

Unique to Transit

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Criminal Investigators and Special AgentsTransit and Railroad Police
Find transitions from Criminal Investigators and Special AgentsFind transitions from Transit and Railroad Police