Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCriminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, PostsecondaryMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
Risk Score33.2%25.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile58th21th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)9 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$71,470$62,970
Employment14K620K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Law and Government
Public Safety and Security
Sociology and Anthropology
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Customer and Personal Service
Speaking
Written Comprehension
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Assisting and Caring for Others
Social PerceptivenessAI-Resistant
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary

31%

total discount

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary

9 of 15 at risk
87%Maintain student attendance records, grades, and other required records.
86%Write letters of recommendation for students.
73%Prepare course materials, such as syllabi, homework assignments, and handouts.
72%Compile, administer, and grade examinations, or assign this work to others.
68%Select and obtain materials and supplies, such as textbooks.

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

8 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain accurate, complete, and correct student records as required by laws, district policies, and administrative regulations.
70%Use computers, audio-visual aids, and other equipment and materials to supplement presentations.
67%Prepare, administer, and grade tests and assignments to evaluate students' progress.
56%Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
55%Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects, and communicate these objectives to students.

Wage Comparison

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education earns -$8,500(-12%) vs Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary
Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, PostsecondaryMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
10th
$45,640$47,050
25th
$56,100$53,540
Median
$71,470$62,970
75th
$99,730$79,380
90th
$143,130$100,980

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary20282035
Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education20282035
20242030203520402045

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary

$47,749

from $71,470

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

$46,799

from $62,970

After adjusting for AI risk, Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary offers $950 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Criminal

0

Unique to Middle

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, PostsecondaryMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education