Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticMetal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders
Risk Score34.6%44.2%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile64th90th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 157 / 15
Median Salary$45,590$55,770
Employment174K20K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Administration and Management
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Controlling Machines and Processes
Production and Processing
Education and Training
Public Safety and Security
Getting Information
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Hearing Sensitivity

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

24%

total discount

Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
86%Read work orders or production schedules to determine specifications, such as materials to be used, locations of cutting lines, or dimensions and tolerances.
84%Mark identifying data on workpieces.
67%Examine completed workpieces for defects, such as chipped edges or marred surfaces and sort defective pieces according to types of flaws.
65%Start machines, monitor their operations, and record operational data.
53%Set up, operate, or tend machines to saw, cut, shear, slit, punch, crimp, notch, bend, or straighten metal or plastic material.

Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders

7 of 15 at risk
88%Record production data, and maintain production logs.
84%Observe air and temperature gauges or metal color and fluidity, and turn fuel valves or adjust controls to maintain required temperatures.
84%Observe operations inside furnaces, using television screens, to ensure that problems do not occur.
74%Draw smelted metal samples from furnaces or kettles for analysis, and calculate types and amounts of materials needed to ensure that materials meet specifications.
67%Regulate supplies of fuel and air, or control flow of electric current and water coolant to heat furnaces and adjust temperatures.

Wage Comparison

Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders earns +$10,180(+22%) vs Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticMetal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders
10th
$35,000$38,760
25th
$38,400$46,550
Median
$45,590$55,770
75th
$52,150$65,070
90th
$62,650$80,280

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders20282035
20242030203520402045

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$29,811

from $45,590

Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders

$31,120

from $55,770

After adjusting for AI risk, Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders offers $1,308 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Cutting,

0

Unique to Metal-Refining

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticMetal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders