Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricEducation Administrators, Preschool and Childcare Center/ProgramFirst-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers
Risk Score25.3%35.2%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile20th66th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$56,270$47,320
Employment72K1.1M

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Thinking Creatively
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Psychology
Assisting and Caring for Others
Performing Administrative Activities
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Written Comprehension
Written Expression
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Inductive Reasoning
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Judgment and Decision MakingAI-Augmented

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Education Administrators, Preschool and Childcare Center/Program

35%

total discount

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers

31%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Education Administrators, Preschool and Childcare Center/Program

3 of 15 at risk
71%Prepare and maintain attendance, activity, planning, accounting, or personnel reports and records for officials and agencies, or direct preparation and maintenance activities.
53%Prepare and submit budget requests or grant proposals to solicit program funding.
52%Determine the scope of educational program offerings and prepare drafts of program schedules and descriptions to estimate staffing and facility requirements.
50%Review and evaluate new and current programs to determine their efficiency, effectiveness, and compliance with state, local, and federal regulations and recommend any necessary modifications.
49%Set educational standards and goals and help establish policies, procedures, and programs to carry them out.

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers

8 of 15 at risk
88%Keep records of purchases, sales, and requisitions.
88%Inventory stock and reorder when inventory drops to a specified level.
87%Review inventory and sales records to prepare reports for management and budget departments.
86%Plan and prepare work schedules and keep records of employees' work schedules and time cards.
80%Assign employees to specific duties.

Wage Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers earns -$8,950(-16%) vs Education Administrators, Preschool and Childcare Center/Program
Education Administrators, Preschool and Childcare Center/ProgramFirst-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers
10th
$37,060$31,120
25th
$45,310$37,580
Median
$56,270$47,320
75th
$72,690$60,510
90th
$96,400$76,560

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Education Administrators, Preschool and Childcare Center/Program20282035
First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers20282035
20242030203520402045

Education Administrators, Preschool and Childcare Center/Program has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Education Administrators, Preschool and Childcare Center/Program

$42,039

from $56,270

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers

$30,673

from $47,320

After adjusting for AI risk, Education Administrators, Preschool and Childcare Center/Program offers $11,366 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Education

0

Unique to First-Line

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Education Administrators, Preschool and Childcare Center/ProgramFirst-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers