Takeover Tracker
23%low risk
Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors
vs

57 shared · 19 different

core competencies

27%medium risk
Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricEducational, Guidance, School, and Vocational CounselorsSpecial Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School
Risk Score22.9%26.6%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile14th24th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$65,140$63,000
Employment342K232K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Therapy and Counseling
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Getting Information
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Assisting and Caring for Others
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Computers and Electronics

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors

35%

total discount

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors

3 of 15 at risk
86%Review transcripts to ensure that students meet graduation or college entrance requirements and write letters of recommendation.
85%Maintain accurate and complete student records as required by laws, district policies, and administrative regulations.
53%Refer students to degree programs based on interests, aptitudes, or educational assessments.
44%Counsel individuals to help them understand and overcome personal, social, or behavioral problems affecting their educational or vocational situations.
42%Teach classes and present self-help or information sessions on subjects related to education and career planning.

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

6 of 15 at risk
84%Maintain accurate and complete student records as required by laws, district policies, or administrative regulations.
71%Prepare reports on students and activities as required by administration.
71%Prepare, administer, or grade tests or assignments to evaluate students' progress.
55%Modify the general kindergarten or elementary education curriculum for special-needs students.
53%Develop individual educational plans (IEPs) designed to promote students' educational, physical, or social development.

Wage Comparison

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School earns -$2,140(-3%) vs Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors
Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational CounselorsSpecial Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School
10th
$43,580$47,590
25th
$51,690$57,050
Median
$65,140$63,000
75th
$83,490$79,320
90th
$105,870$100,620

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors2028–2035
Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors

$50,236

from $65,140

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

$46,242

from $63,000

After adjusting for AI risk, Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors offers $3,994 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Educational,

0

Unique to Special

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational CounselorsSpecial Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School
Find transitions from Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational CounselorsFind transitions from Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School