Emergency Management Directors vs First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

Emergency Management Directors

69 shared · 24 different

core competencies

medium risk

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Emergency Management Directors leads 4–0

Metric	Emergency Management Directors	First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers
Risk Score	28.2%	32.6%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	30th	54th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	7 / 15	7 / 15
Median Salary	$86,130	$84,130
Employment	13K	219K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Public Safety and Security

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Sales and Marketing

Service OrientationAI-Resistant

Geography

Complex Problem SolvingAI-Resistant

Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People

Telecommunications

Selling or Influencing Others

Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Assisting and Caring for Others

Monitoring and Controlling Resources

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Emergency Management Directors

37%

total discount

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Emergency Management Directors

7 of 15 at risk

86%Keep informed of federal, state, and local regulations affecting emergency plans and ensure that plans adhere to these regulations.

84%Apply for federal funding for emergency-management-related needs and administer and report on the progress of such grants.

55%Prepare emergency situation status reports that describe response and recovery efforts, needs, and preliminary damage assessments.

53%Keep informed of activities or changes that could affect the likelihood of an emergency, as well as those that could affect response efforts and details of plan implementation.

53%Review emergency plans of individual organizations, such as medical facilities, to ensure their adequacy.

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers

7 of 15 at risk

88%Inventory stock and reorder when inventories drop to specified levels.

87%Keep records pertaining to purchases, sales, and requisitions.

86%Prepare sales and inventory reports for management and budget departments.

86%Prepare rental or lease agreements, specifying charges and payment procedures for use of machinery, tools, or other items.

85%Plan and prepare work schedules, and assign employees to specific duties.

Wage Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers earns -$2,000(-2%) vs Emergency Management Directors

Emergency Management DirectorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers

10th

$51,260$48,880

25th

$64,470$62,730

Median

$86,130$84,130

75th

$119,690$118,190

90th

$160,420$162,120

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Emergency Management Directors2028–2035

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Emergency Management Directors has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Emergency Management Directors

$61,824

from $86,130

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers

$56,695

from $84,130

After adjusting for AI risk, Emergency Management Directors offers $5,129 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Emergency

Unique to First-Line

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers

Fine Manipulation

Creativity

Decision Complexity

Emergency Management DirectorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers

Find transitions from Emergency Management Directors Find transitions from First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers