Emergency Management Directors vs Program Directors AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

Emergency Management Directors

64 shared · 24 different

core competencies

medium risk

Program Directors

Side-by-Side Comparison

Emergency Management Directors leads 5–0

Metric	Emergency Management Directors	Program Directors
Risk Score	28.2%	30.8%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	30th	43th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	7 / 15	10 / 15
Median Salary	$86,130	$83,480
Employment	13K	145K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Public Safety and Security

Selling or Influencing Others

Service OrientationAI-Resistant

Communications and Media

Complex Problem SolvingAI-Resistant

Assisting and Caring for Others

Thinking Creatively

Law and Government

Processing Information

Administration and Management

Education and Training

Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Emergency Management Directors

37%

total discount

Program Directors

36%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Emergency Management Directors

7 of 15 at risk

86%Keep informed of federal, state, and local regulations affecting emergency plans and ensure that plans adhere to these regulations.

84%Apply for federal funding for emergency-management-related needs and administer and report on the progress of such grants.

55%Prepare emergency situation status reports that describe response and recovery efforts, needs, and preliminary damage assessments.

53%Keep informed of activities or changes that could affect the likelihood of an emergency, as well as those that could affect response efforts and details of plan implementation.

53%Review emergency plans of individual organizations, such as medical facilities, to ensure their adequacy.

Program Directors

10 of 15 at risk

87%Monitor network transmissions for advisories concerning daily program schedules, program content, special feeds, or program changes.

86%Check completed program logs for accuracy and conformance with Federal Communications Commission (FCC) rules and regulations and resolve program log inaccuracies.

84%Establish work schedules and assign work to staff members.

69%Prepare copy and edit tape so that material is ready for broadcasting.

57%Develop promotions for current programs and specials.

Wage Comparison

Program Directors earns -$2,650(-3%) vs Emergency Management Directors

Emergency Management DirectorsProgram Directors

10th

$51,260$43,060

25th

$64,470$59,810

Median

$86,130$83,480

75th

$119,690$131,160

90th

$160,420$198,530

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Emergency Management Directors2028–2035

Program Directors2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Emergency Management Directors has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Program Directors.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Emergency Management Directors

$61,824

from $86,130

Program Directors

$57,735

from $83,480

After adjusting for AI risk, Emergency Management Directors offers $4,089 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Emergency

Unique to Program

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers

Fine Manipulation

Social Intelligence

Creativity

Emergency Management DirectorsProgram Directors

Find transitions from Emergency Management Directors Find transitions from Program Directors