Takeover Tracker
28%medium risk
Emergency Management Directors
vs

69 shared · 21 different

core competencies

29%medium risk
Security Managers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricEmergency Management DirectorsSecurity Managers
Risk Score28.2%28.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile30th32th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$86,130$136,550
Employment13K631K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Service OrientationAI-Resistant
Complex Problem SolvingAI-Resistant
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Developing Objectives and Strategies
CoordinationAI-Resistant
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Selling or Influencing Others
Thinking Creatively
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Active LearningAI-Augmented
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Scheduling Work and Activities

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Emergency Management Directors

37%

total discount

Security Managers

35%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Emergency Management Directors

7 of 15 at risk
86%Keep informed of federal, state, and local regulations affecting emergency plans and ensure that plans adhere to these regulations.
84%Apply for federal funding for emergency-management-related needs and administer and report on the progress of such grants.
55%Prepare emergency situation status reports that describe response and recovery efforts, needs, and preliminary damage assessments.
53%Keep informed of activities or changes that could affect the likelihood of an emergency, as well as those that could affect response efforts and details of plan implementation.
53%Review emergency plans of individual organizations, such as medical facilities, to ensure their adequacy.

Security Managers

3 of 15 at risk
67%Communicate security status, updates, and actual or potential problems, using established protocols.
53%Develop budgets for security operations.
51%Develop, conduct, support, or assist in governmental reviews, internal corporate evaluations, or assessments of the overall effectiveness of facility and personnel security processes.
49%Create or implement security standards, policies, and procedures.
49%Direct or participate in emergency management and contingency planning.

Wage Comparison

Security Managers earns +$50,420(+59%) vs Emergency Management Directors
Emergency Management DirectorsSecurity Managers
10th
$51,260$68,860
25th
$64,470$100,010
Median
$86,130$136,550
75th
$119,690$179,190
90th
$160,420$227,590

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Emergency Management Directors2028–2035
Security Managers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Emergency Management Directors has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Security Managers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Emergency Management Directors

$61,824

from $86,130

Security Managers

$97,306

from $136,550

After adjusting for AI risk, Security Managers offers $35,481 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Emergency

0

Unique to Security

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Emergency Management DirectorsSecurity Managers
Find transitions from Emergency Management DirectorsFind transitions from Security Managers