Takeover Tracker
vs

69 shared · 28 different

core competencies

38%medium risk
Police Detectives

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricFire InvestigatorsPolice Detectives
Risk Score24.4%38.1%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile18th75th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)1 / 144 / 15
Median Salary$78,060$93,580
Employment14K111K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Handling and Moving Objects
Performing General Physical Activities
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Education and Training
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Developing and Building Teams
Coaching and Developing Others
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Flexibility of Closure

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Fire Investigators

38%

total discount

Police Detectives

38%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Fire Investigators

1 of 14 at risk
85%Prepare and maintain reports of investigation results, and records of convicted arsonists and arson suspects.
49%Analyze evidence and other information to determine probable cause of fire or explosion.
49%Photograph damage and evidence related to causes of fires or explosions to document investigation findings.
47%Conduct internal investigation to determine negligence and violation of laws and regulations by fire department employees.
39%Package collected pieces of evidence in securely closed containers, such as bags, crates, or boxes, to protect them.

Police Detectives

4 of 15 at risk
87%Examine records and governmental agency files to find identifying data about suspects.
85%Record progress of investigation, maintain informational files on suspects, and submit reports to commanding officer or magistrate to authorize warrants.
83%Provide information to lab personnel concerning the source of an item of evidence and tests to be performed.
72%Prepare charges or responses to charges, or information for court cases, according to formalized procedures.
47%Take photographs from all angles of relevant parts of a crime scene, including entrance and exit routes and streets and intersections.

Wage Comparison

Police Detectives earns +$15,520(+20%) vs Fire Investigators
Fire InvestigatorsPolice Detectives
10th
$47,580$54,160
25th
$60,700$68,390
Median
$78,060$93,580
75th
$105,390$120,080
90th
$149,870$159,410

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Fire Investigators20282035
Police Detectives20282035
20242030203520402045

Fire Investigators has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Police Detectives.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Fire Investigators

$59,052

from $78,060

Police Detectives

$57,954

from $93,580

After adjusting for AI risk, Fire Investigators offers $1,098 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Fire

0

Unique to Police

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Fire InvestigatorsPolice Detectives