First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers vs Chefs and Head Cooks AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers

82 shared · 15 different

core competencies

medium risk

Chefs and Head Cooks

Side-by-Side Comparison

Chefs and Head Cooks leads 4–1

Metric	First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers	Chefs and Head Cooks
Risk Score	33.4%	28.7%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	59th	32th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	7 / 15	8 / 15
Median Salary	$59,330	$60,990
Employment	30K	182K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Thinking Creatively

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Food Production

Controlling Machines and Processes

Control Precision

Coaching and Developing Others

Training and Teaching Others

Operation and Control

Communicating with Persons Outside Organization

Far Vision

Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work

Multilimb Coordination

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers

31%

total discount

Chefs and Head Cooks

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers

7 of 15 at risk

86%Read inventory records, customer orders, or shipping schedules to determine required activities.

86%Requisition or purchase supplies, such as insecticides, machine parts or lubricants, or tools.

84%Estimate labor requirements for jobs and plan work schedules accordingly.

69%Prepare and maintain time or payroll reports, as well as details of personnel actions, such as performance evaluations, hires, promotions, or disciplinary actions.

63%Drive or operate farm machinery, such as trucks, tractors, or self-propelled harvesters, to transport workers or supplies or to cultivate or harvest fields.

Chefs and Head Cooks

8 of 15 at risk

86%Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

85%Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

75%Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

73%Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

72%Check the quantity and quality of received products.

Wage Comparison

Chefs and Head Cooks earns +$1,660(+3%) vs First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural WorkersChefs and Head Cooks

10th

$39,610$36,000

25th

$47,660$47,710

Median

$59,330$60,990

75th

$76,640$76,790

90th

$90,840$96,030

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers2028–2035

Chefs and Head Cooks2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Chefs and Head Cooks has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers

$39,508

from $59,330

Chefs and Head Cooks

$43,510

from $60,990

After adjusting for AI risk, Chefs and Head Cooks offers $4,002 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to First-Line

Unique to Chefs

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity

Social Intelligence

Fine Manipulation

Decision Complexity

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural WorkersChefs and Head Cooks

Find transitions from First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers Find transitions from Chefs and Head Cooks