Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricFirst-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural WorkersFirst-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers
Risk Score33.4%25.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile59th21th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$59,330$78,690
Employment30K806K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Chemistry
Public Safety and Security
Scheduling Work and Activities
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Customer and Personal Service
Controlling Machines and Processes
Flexibility of Closure
Judgment and Decision MakingAI-Augmented
Thinking Creatively

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers

31%

total discount

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers

32%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers

7 of 15 at risk
86%Read inventory records, customer orders, or shipping schedules to determine required activities.
86%Requisition or purchase supplies, such as insecticides, machine parts or lubricants, or tools.
84%Estimate labor requirements for jobs and plan work schedules accordingly.
69%Prepare and maintain time or payroll reports, as well as details of personnel actions, such as performance evaluations, hires, promotions, or disciplinary actions.
63%Drive or operate farm machinery, such as trucks, tractors, or self-propelled harvesters, to transport workers or supplies or to cultivate or harvest fields.

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers

4 of 15 at risk
86%Order or requisition materials or supplies.
86%Arrange for repairs of equipment or machinery.
62%Record information such as personnel, production, or operational data on specified forms or reports.
51%Estimate material or worker requirements to complete jobs.
49%Read specifications, such as blueprints, to determine construction requirements or to plan procedures.

Wage Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers earns +$19,360(+33%) vs First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers
First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural WorkersFirst-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers
10th
$39,610$51,290
25th
$47,660$62,400
Median
$59,330$78,690
75th
$76,640$100,200
90th
$90,840$126,690

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers20282035
First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers20282035
20242030203520402045

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers

$39,508

from $59,330

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers

$58,459

from $78,690

After adjusting for AI risk, First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers offers $18,951 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to First-Line

0

Unique to First-Line

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural WorkersFirst-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers