Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricFirst-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and RepairersFirst-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers
Risk Score29.0%35.5%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile33th67th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 159 / 15
Median Salary$78,300$71,190
Employment601K685K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Customer and Personal Service
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Public Safety and Security
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Clerical
Controlling Machines and Processes
English Language
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Troubleshooting
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Computers and Electronics

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers

33%

total discount

First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers

32%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers

6 of 15 at risk
86%Requisition materials and supplies, such as tools, equipment, or replacement parts.
86%Compute estimates and actual costs of factors such as materials, labor, or outside contractors.
86%Participate in budget preparation and administration, coordinating purchasing and documentation and monitoring departmental expenditures.
84%Monitor tool and part inventories and the condition and maintenance of shops to ensure adequate working conditions.
64%Determine schedules, sequences, and assignments for work activities, based on work priority, quantity of equipment, and skill of personnel.

First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers

9 of 15 at risk
88%Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.
88%Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.
86%Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.
86%Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.
86%Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

Wage Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers earns -$7,110(-9%) vs First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers
First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and RepairersFirst-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers
10th
$48,460$45,790
25th
$61,240$56,330
Median
$78,300$71,190
75th
$99,630$86,770
90th
$124,280$106,960

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers20282035
First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers20282035
20242030203520402045

First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers

$55,577

from $78,300

First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers

$45,953

from $71,190

After adjusting for AI risk, First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers offers $9,624 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to First-Line

0

Unique to First-Line

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and RepairersFirst-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers