First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives vs Immigration and Customs Inspectors AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives

47 shared · 43 different

core competencies

medium risk

Immigration and Customs Inspectors

Side-by-Side Comparison

Immigration and Customs Inspectors leads 4–1

Metric	First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives	Immigration and Customs Inspectors
Risk Score	27.6%	27.5%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	28th	27th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	5 / 15	3 / 11
Median Salary	$105,980	$93,580
Employment	153K	111K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates

Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others

Assisting and Caring for Others

Personnel and Human Resources

Administration and Management

Provide Consultation and Advice to Others

Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others

Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work

Scheduling Work and Activities

Management of Personnel Resources

Selling or Influencing Others

Public Safety and Security

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives

38%

total discount

Immigration and Customs Inspectors

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives

5 of 15 at risk

86%Maintain logs, prepare reports, and direct the preparation, handling, and maintenance of departmental records.

86%Prepare work schedules and assign duties to subordinates.

76%Direct release or transfer of prisoners.

74%Direct collection, preparation, and handling of evidence and personal property of prisoners.

53%Prepare budgets and manage expenditures of department funds.

Immigration and Customs Inspectors

3 of 11 at risk

86%Record and report job-related activities, findings, transactions, violations, discrepancies, and decisions.

85%Determine duty and taxes to be paid on goods.

53%Inspect cargo, baggage, and personal articles entering or leaving U.S. for compliance with revenue laws and U.S. customs regulations.

49%Collect samples of merchandise for examination, appraisal, or testing.

49%Investigate applications for duty refunds and petition for remission or mitigation of penalties when warranted.

Wage Comparison

Immigration and Customs Inspectors earns -$12,400(-12%) vs First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives

First-Line Supervisors of Police and DetectivesImmigration and Customs Inspectors

10th

$62,370$54,160

25th

$80,940$68,390

Median

$105,980$93,580

75th

$133,520$120,080

90th

$165,050$159,410

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives2028–2035

Immigration and Customs Inspectors2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Immigration and Customs Inspectors has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives

$76,687

from $105,980

Immigration and Customs Inspectors

$67,864

from $93,580

After adjusting for AI risk, First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives offers $8,823 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to First-Line

Unique to Immigration

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence

Creativity

Regulatory Barriers

Decision Complexity

First-Line Supervisors of Police and DetectivesImmigration and Customs Inspectors

Find transitions from First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives Find transitions from Immigration and Customs Inspectors