Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricForest Fire Fighting and Prevention SupervisorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers
Risk Score26.2%33.4%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile22th59th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 157 / 15
Median Salary$92,430$59,330
Employment94K30K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Production and Processing
Performing General Physical Activities
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Assisting and Caring for Others
Public Safety and Security
Law and Government
Geography
Handling and Moving Objects
Customer and Personal Service
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Developing Objectives and Strategies

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors

37%

total discount

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers

31%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors

5 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain knowledge of forest fire laws and fire prevention techniques and tactics.
84%Schedule employee work assignments and set work priorities.
55%Evaluate size, location, and condition of forest fires.
55%Observe fires or crews from air to determine firefighting force requirements or to note changing conditions that will affect firefighting efforts.
51%Analyze burn conditions and results, and prepare postburn reports.

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers

7 of 15 at risk
86%Read inventory records, customer orders, or shipping schedules to determine required activities.
86%Requisition or purchase supplies, such as insecticides, machine parts or lubricants, or tools.
84%Estimate labor requirements for jobs and plan work schedules accordingly.
69%Prepare and maintain time or payroll reports, as well as details of personnel actions, such as performance evaluations, hires, promotions, or disciplinary actions.
63%Drive or operate farm machinery, such as trucks, tractors, or self-propelled harvesters, to transport workers or supplies or to cultivate or harvest fields.

Wage Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers earns -$33,100(-36%) vs Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors
Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention SupervisorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers
10th
$53,970$39,610
25th
$72,240$47,660
Median
$92,430$59,330
75th
$115,990$76,640
90th
$142,300$90,840

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors20282035
First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers20282035
20242030203520402045

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors

$68,241

from $92,430

First-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers

$39,508

from $59,330

After adjusting for AI risk, Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors offers $28,733 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Forest

0

Unique to First-Line

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention SupervisorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Agricultural Crop and Horticultural Workers