Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricForest Fire Fighting and Prevention SupervisorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers
Risk Score26.2%25.1%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile22th20th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$92,430$56,170
Employment94K124K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities
Handling and Moving Objects
Public Safety and Security
Assisting and Caring for Others
Law and Government
Education and Training
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Controlling Machines and Processes
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Documenting/Recording Information
Mechanical

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors

37%

total discount

First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers

32%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors

5 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain knowledge of forest fire laws and fire prevention techniques and tactics.
84%Schedule employee work assignments and set work priorities.
55%Evaluate size, location, and condition of forest fires.
55%Observe fires or crews from air to determine firefighting force requirements or to note changing conditions that will affect firefighting efforts.
51%Analyze burn conditions and results, and prepare postburn reports.

First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers

3 of 15 at risk
87%Perform administrative duties, such as authorizing leaves or processing time sheets.
86%Schedule work for crews, depending on work priorities, crew or equipment availability, or weather conditions.
82%Inventory supplies of tools, equipment, or materials to ensure that sufficient supplies are available and items are in usable condition.
47%Direct or perform mixing or application of fertilizers, insecticides, herbicides, or fungicides.
39%Inspect completed work to ensure conformance to specifications, standards, and contract requirements.

Wage Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers earns -$36,260(-39%) vs Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors
Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention SupervisorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers
10th
$53,970$39,270
25th
$72,240$46,350
Median
$92,430$56,170
75th
$115,990$70,320
90th
$142,300$83,080

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors20282035
First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers20282035
20242030203520402045

First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors

$68,241

from $92,430

First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers

$42,049

from $56,170

After adjusting for AI risk, Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors offers $26,192 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Forest

0

Unique to First-Line

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention SupervisorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers