Takeover Tracker
26%medium risk
Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors
vs

24 shared · 80 different

core competencies

22%low risk
Painters, Construction and Maintenance

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricForest Fire Fighting and Prevention SupervisorsPainters, Construction and Maintenance
Risk Score26.2%21.9%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile22th11th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$92,430$48,660
Employment94K224K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Personnel and Human Resources
Developing and Building Teams
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Training and Teaching Others
Performing General Physical Activities
Computers and Electronics
Speaking
Problem Sensitivity
Complex Problem SolvingAI-Resistant
Education and Training
MonitoringAI-Augmented

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors

37%

total discount

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors

5 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain knowledge of forest fire laws and fire prevention techniques and tactics.
84%Schedule employee work assignments and set work priorities.
55%Evaluate size, location, and condition of forest fires.
55%Observe fires or crews from air to determine firefighting force requirements or to note changing conditions that will affect firefighting efforts.
51%Analyze burn conditions and results, and prepare postburn reports.

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

3 of 15 at risk
86%Read work orders or receive instructions from supervisors or homeowners to determine work requirements.
74%Calculate amounts of required materials and estimate costs, based on surface measurements or work orders.
51%Mix and match colors of paint, stain, or varnish with oil or thinning and drying additives to obtain desired colors and consistencies.
49%Smooth surfaces, using sandpaper, scrapers, brushes, steel wool, or sanding machines.
49%Wash and treat surfaces with oil, turpentine, mildew remover, or other preparations, and sand rough spots to ensure that finishes will adhere properly.

Wage Comparison

Painters, Construction and Maintenance earns -$43,770(-47%) vs Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors
Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention SupervisorsPainters, Construction and Maintenance
10th
$53,970$36,680
25th
$72,240$42,510
Median
$92,430$48,660
75th
$115,990$60,270
90th
$142,300$76,550

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors2028–2035
Painters, Construction and Maintenance2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Painters, Construction and Maintenance has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors

$68,241

from $92,430

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

$38,028

from $48,660

After adjusting for AI risk, Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention Supervisors offers $30,213 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Forest

0

Unique to Painters,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention SupervisorsPainters, Construction and Maintenance
Find transitions from Forest Fire Fighting and Prevention SupervisorsFind transitions from Painters, Construction and Maintenance