Side-by-Side Comparison
Roofers leads 3–1| Metric | Forest Firefighters | Roofers |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 21.0% | 13.3% |
| Risk Tier | Low Risk | Low Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 9th | 0th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 2 / 15 | 2 / 15 |
| Median Salary | $59,530 | $50,970 |
| Employment | 332K | 137K |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Assisting and Caring for Others
Public Safety and Security
Transportation
Chemistry
Customer and Personal Service
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Response Orientation
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Service OrientationAI-Resistant
Documenting/Recording Information
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Forest Firefighters
35%
total discount
Roofers
28%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Forest Firefighters
2 of 15 at risk76%Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.
74%Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.
49%Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.
49%Maintain fire equipment and firehouse living quarters.
49%Transport personnel and cargo to and from fire areas.
Roofers
2 of 15 at risk73%Estimate materials and labor required to complete roofing jobs.
53%Inspect problem roofs to determine the best repair procedures.
13%Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.
13%Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.
11%Remove snow, water, or debris from roofs prior to applying roofing materials.
Wage Comparison
Roofers earns -$8,560(-14%) vs Forest Firefighters
Forest FirefightersRoofers
10th
$34,490$37,060
25th
$44,180$45,300
Median
$59,530$50,970
75th
$77,410$64,010
90th
$101,330$80,780
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Forest Firefighters2028–2035
Roofers2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Roofers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Forest Firefighters.
Risk-Adjusted Salary
Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)
Forest Firefighters
$47,029
from $59,530
Roofers
$44,201
from $50,970
After adjusting for AI risk, Forest Firefighters offers $2,828 more in risk-adjusted pay.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Forest
0
Unique to Roofers
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Forest FirefightersRoofers