Takeover Tracker
49%medium risk
Gaming Dealers
vs

53 shared · 9 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricGaming DealersChildcare Workers
Risk Score49.1%21.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile96th11th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)12 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$33,280$32,050
Employment83K520K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Assisting and Caring for Others
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Thinking Creatively
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Manual DexterityAI-Resistant
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Developing Objectives and Strategies

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Gaming Dealers

27%

total discount

Childcare Workers

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Gaming Dealers

12 of 15 at risk
88%Pay winnings or collect losing bets as established by the rules and procedures of a specific game.
88%Deal cards to house hands, and compare these with players' hands to determine winners, as in black jack.
88%Conduct gambling games, such as dice, roulette, cards, or keno, following all applicable rules and regulations.
88%Check to ensure that all players have placed bets before play begins.
88%Apply rule variations to card games such as poker, in which players bet on the value of their hands.

Childcare Workers

2 of 15 at risk
85%Perform general administrative tasks, such as taking attendance, editing internal paperwork, and making phone calls.
70%Keep records on individual children, including daily observations and information about activities, meals served, and medications administered.
45%Organize and store toys and materials to ensure order in activity areas.
45%Sterilize bottles and prepare formulas.
41%Sanitize toys and play equipment.

Wage Comparison

Childcare Workers earns -$1,230(-4%) vs Gaming Dealers
Gaming DealersChildcare Workers
10th
$22,340$22,900
25th
$24,480$28,000
Median
$33,280$32,050
75th
$45,430$36,960
90th
$73,530$44,560

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Gaming Dealers20282035
Childcare Workers20282035
20242030203520402045

Childcare Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Gaming Dealers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Gaming Dealers

$16,953

from $33,280

Childcare Workers

$25,095

from $32,050

After adjusting for AI risk, Childcare Workers offers $8,142 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Gaming

0

Unique to Childcare

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Gaming DealersChildcare Workers