Takeover Tracker
21%low risk
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists
vs

46 shared · 22 different

core competencies

48%medium risk
Counter and Rental Clerks

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsCounter and Rental Clerks
Risk Score21.5%48.3%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile10th96th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 1511 / 15
Median Salary$35,250$38,540
Employment295K399K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Thinking Creatively
Manual DexterityAI-Resistant
Arm-Hand Steadiness
Assisting and Caring for Others
Scheduling Work and Activities
Finger Dexterity
Performing General Physical Activities
Visualization
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Computers and Electronics
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

33%

total discount

Counter and Rental Clerks

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

5 of 15 at risk
86%Operate cash registers to receive payments from patrons.
84%Order, display, and maintain supplies.
65%Schedule client appointments.
61%Update and maintain customer information records, such as beauty services provided.
53%Analyze patrons' hair and other physical features to determine and recommend beauty treatment or suggest hair styles.

Counter and Rental Clerks

11 of 15 at risk
88%Compute charges for merchandise or services and receive payments.
88%Prepare rental forms, obtaining customer signature and other information, such as required licenses.
88%Keep records of transactions and of the number of customers entering an establishment.
88%Reserve items for requested times and keep records of items rented.
84%Rent items, arrange for provision of services to customers, and accept returns.

Wage Comparison

Counter and Rental Clerks earns +$3,290(+9%) vs Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsCounter and Rental Clerks
10th
$24,580$28,580
25th
$29,060$34,200
Median
$35,250$38,540
75th
$48,300$48,290
90th
$70,220$62,030

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists2028–2035
Counter and Rental Clerks2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Counter and Rental Clerks.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

$27,675

from $35,250

Counter and Rental Clerks

$19,921

from $38,540

After adjusting for AI risk, Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists offers $7,753 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Hairdressers,

0

Unique to Counter

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsCounter and Rental Clerks
Find transitions from Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsFind transitions from Counter and Rental Clerks