Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHeating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersMobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines
Risk Score17.0%21.1%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile2th9th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$59,810$63,980
Employment397K180K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Customer and Personal Service
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Installation
Design
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Physics
Selling or Influencing Others
Control Precision
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Mechanical
Manual DexterityAI-Resistant

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

32%

total discount

Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

4 of 15 at risk
88%Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.
82%Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.
70%Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.
50%Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.
45%Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines

4 of 15 at risk
86%Read and understand operating manuals, blueprints, and technical drawings.
86%Research, order, and maintain parts inventory for services and repairs.
86%Schedule maintenance for industrial machines and equipment, and keep equipment service records.
53%Diagnose faults or malfunctions to determine required repairs, using engine diagnostic equipment such as computerized test equipment and calibration devices.
47%Examine parts for damage or excessive wear, using micrometers and gauges.

Wage Comparison

Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines earns +$4,170(+7%) vs Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers
Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersMobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines
10th
$39,130$45,450
25th
$47,850$53,500
Median
$59,810$63,980
75th
$74,820$78,090
90th
$91,020$92,360

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers20282035
Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines20282035
20242030203520402045

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

$49,624

from $59,810

Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines

$50,480

from $63,980

After adjusting for AI risk, Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines offers $856 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Heating

0

Unique to Mobile

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersMobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines