Takeover Tracker
24%low risk
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
vs

58 shared · 12 different

core competencies

46%medium risk
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversIndustrial Truck and Tractor Operators
Risk Score23.6%45.6%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile16th92th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 158 / 11
Median Salary$57,440$46,390
Employment2.1M806K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Transportation
Customer and Personal Service
Mechanical
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Handling and Moving Objects
Training and Teaching Others
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Rate Control
Documenting/Recording Information
Coaching and Developing Others
Scheduling Work and Activities

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

26%

total discount

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

8 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.
88%Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.
88%Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.
88%Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.
86%Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

8 of 11 at risk
87%Weigh materials or products and record weight or other production data on tags or labels.
63%Manually or mechanically load or unload materials from pallets, skids, platforms, cars, lifting devices, or other transport vehicles.
63%Move controls to drive gasoline- or electric-powered trucks, cars, or tractors and transport materials between loading, processing, and storage areas.
61%Move levers or controls that operate lifting devices, such as forklifts, lift beams with swivel-hooks, hoists, or elevating platforms, to load, unload, transport, or stack material.
61%Inspect product load for accuracy and safely move it around the warehouse or facility to ensure timely and complete delivery.

Wage Comparison

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators earns -$11,050(-19%) vs Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversIndustrial Truck and Tractor Operators
10th
$38,640$36,500
25th
$47,230$39,780
Median
$57,440$46,390
75th
$65,520$53,680
90th
$78,800$61,540

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers2028–2035
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

$43,884

from $57,440

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

$25,218

from $46,390

After adjusting for AI risk, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers offers $18,667 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Heavy

0

Unique to Industrial

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversIndustrial Truck and Tractor Operators
Find transitions from Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversFind transitions from Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators