Takeover Tracker
24%low risk
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
vs

65 shared · 18 different

core competencies

29%medium risk
Motorboat Operators

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversMotorboat Operators
Risk Score23.6%29.4%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile16th35th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$57,440$51,880
Employment2.1M2K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Controlling Machines and Processes
Geography
Scheduling Work and Activities
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Mechanical
Processing Information
Flexibility of Closure
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Documenting/Recording Information
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

26%

total discount

Motorboat Operators

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

8 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.
88%Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.
88%Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.
88%Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.
86%Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

Motorboat Operators

5 of 15 at risk
85%Arrange repairs, fuel, and supplies for vessels.
83%Report any observed navigational hazards to authorities.
70%Follow safety procedures to ensure the protection of passengers, cargo, and vessels.
65%Take depth soundings in turning basins.
59%Maintain desired courses, using compasses or electronic navigational aids.

Wage Comparison

Motorboat Operators earns -$5,560(-10%) vs Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversMotorboat Operators
10th
$38,640$31,970
25th
$47,230$39,860
Median
$57,440$51,880
75th
$65,520$68,490
90th
$78,800$82,330

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers2028–2035
Motorboat Operators2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Motorboat Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

$43,884

from $57,440

Motorboat Operators

$36,643

from $51,880

After adjusting for AI risk, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers offers $7,241 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Heavy

0

Unique to Motorboat

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversMotorboat Operators
Find transitions from Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversFind transitions from Motorboat Operators