Takeover Tracker
24%low risk
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
vs

56 shared · 16 different

core competencies

38%medium risk
Pourers and Casters, Metal

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversPourers and Casters, Metal
Risk Score23.6%37.7%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile16th74th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$57,440$48,940
Employment2.1M6K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Transportation
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Response Orientation
Spatial Orientation
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Far Vision
Rate Control
Multilimb Coordination
Reaction Time
Peripheral Vision
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

26%

total discount

Pourers and Casters, Metal

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

8 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.
88%Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.
88%Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.
88%Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.
86%Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

Pourers and Casters, Metal

5 of 15 at risk
84%Read temperature gauges and observe color changes, adjusting furnace flames, torches, or electrical heating units as necessary to melt metal to specifications.
63%Examine molds to ensure they are clean, smooth, and properly coated.
61%Transport metal ingots to storage areas, using forklifts.
59%Stencil identifying information on ingots and pigs, using special hand tools.
51%Turn valves to circulate water through cores, or spray water on filled molds to cool and solidify metal.

Wage Comparison

Pourers and Casters, Metal earns -$8,500(-15%) vs Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversPourers and Casters, Metal
10th
$38,640$37,250
25th
$47,230$41,410
Median
$57,440$48,940
75th
$65,520$59,850
90th
$78,800$68,030

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers2028–2035
Pourers and Casters, Metal2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Pourers and Casters, Metal.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

$43,884

from $57,440

Pourers and Casters, Metal

$30,475

from $48,940

After adjusting for AI risk, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers offers $13,409 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Heavy

0

Unique to Pourers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversPourers and Casters, Metal
Find transitions from Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversFind transitions from Pourers and Casters, Metal