Takeover Tracker
46%medium risk
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators
vs

54 shared · 10 different

core competencies

18%low risk
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricIndustrial Truck and Tractor OperatorsPaving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators
Risk Score45.6%18.1%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile92th4th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 110 / 15
Median Salary$46,390$51,650
Employment806K46K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Controlling Machines and Processes
Mechanical
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Performing General Physical Activities
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Developing and Building Teams
Documenting/Recording Information
Transportation
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

25%

total discount

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

8 of 11 at risk
87%Weigh materials or products and record weight or other production data on tags or labels.
63%Manually or mechanically load or unload materials from pallets, skids, platforms, cars, lifting devices, or other transport vehicles.
63%Move controls to drive gasoline- or electric-powered trucks, cars, or tractors and transport materials between loading, processing, and storage areas.
61%Move levers or controls that operate lifting devices, such as forklifts, lift beams with swivel-hooks, hoists, or elevating platforms, to load, unload, transport, or stack material.
61%Inspect product load for accuracy and safely move it around the warehouse or facility to ensure timely and complete delivery.

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

0 of 15 at risk
45%Light burners or start heating units of machines, and regulate screed temperatures and asphalt flow rates.
41%Start machine, engage clutch, and push and move levers to guide machine along forms or guidelines and to control the operation of machine attachments.
39%Observe distribution of paving material to adjust machine settings or material flow, and indicate low spots for workers to add material.
39%Fill tanks, hoppers, or machines with paving materials.
37%Shovel blacktop.

Wage Comparison

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators earns +$5,260(+11%) vs Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators
Industrial Truck and Tractor OperatorsPaving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators
10th
$36,500$38,030
25th
$39,780$44,740
Median
$46,390$51,650
75th
$53,680$66,060
90th
$61,540$90,110

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators2028–2035
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

$25,218

from $46,390

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

$42,301

from $51,650

After adjusting for AI risk, Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators offers $17,084 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Industrial

0

Unique to Paving,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Industrial Truck and Tractor OperatorsPaving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators
Find transitions from Industrial Truck and Tractor OperatorsFind transitions from Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators