Takeover Tracker
45%medium risk
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
vs

32 shared · 5 different

core competencies

33%medium risk
Nursery Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricLaborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, HandNursery Workers
Risk Score45.3%33.4%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile92th59th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)12 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$38,940$35,690
Employment3M262K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities
Controlling Machines and Processes
Handling and Moving Objects
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Selling or Influencing Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand

23%

total discount

Nursery Workers

22%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand

12 of 15 at risk
88%Record numbers of units handled or moved, using daily production sheets or work tickets.
86%Read work orders or receive oral instructions to determine work assignments or material or equipment needs.
85%Check freight, stock, or other materials for damage.
84%Take inventory of freight, stock, or other materials used on site.
61%Move freight, stock, or other materials to and from storage or production areas, loading docks, delivery vehicles, ships, or containers, by hand or using trucks, tractors, or other equipment.

Nursery Workers

8 of 15 at risk
86%Regulate greenhouse conditions, and indoor and outdoor irrigation systems.
86%Maintain inventory, ordering materials as required.
84%Record information about plants and plant growth.
61%Fill growing tanks with water.
57%Cut, roll, and stack sod.

Wage Comparison

Nursery Workers earns -$3,250(-8%) vs Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, HandNursery Workers
10th
$30,810$32,260
25th
$35,410$34,280
Median
$38,940$35,690
75th
$46,370$38,950
90th
$53,180$46,370

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand2028–2035
Nursery Workers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Nursery Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand

$21,304

from $38,940

Nursery Workers

$23,766

from $35,690

After adjusting for AI risk, Nursery Workers offers $2,462 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Laborers

0

Unique to Nursery

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, HandNursery Workers
Find transitions from Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, HandFind transitions from Nursery Workers