Locomotive Engineers vs Sailors and Marine Oilers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

Locomotive Engineers

66 shared · 21 different

core competencies

medium risk

Sailors and Marine Oilers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Sailors and Marine Oilers leads 4–1

Metric	Locomotive Engineers	Sailors and Marine Oilers
Risk Score	44.1%	30.7%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	90th	43th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	13 / 15	5 / 15
Median Salary	$77,400	$49,610
Employment	32K	31K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Transportation

Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards

Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment

Performing General Physical Activities

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment

Response Orientation

Reaction Time

Gross Body Equilibrium

Selective Attention

Extent Flexibility

Stamina

Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Locomotive Engineers

28%

total discount

Sailors and Marine Oilers

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Locomotive Engineers

13 of 15 at risk

87%Prepare reports regarding any problems encountered, such as accidents, signaling problems, unscheduled stops, or delays.

86%Monitor gauges or meters that measure speed, amperage, battery charge, or air pressure in brakelines or in main reservoirs.

85%Check to ensure that brake examination tests are conducted at shunting stations.

85%Check to ensure that documentation, such as procedure manuals or logbooks, are in the driver's cab and available for staff use.

77%Interpret train orders, signals, or railroad rules and regulations that govern the operation of locomotives.

Sailors and Marine Oilers

5 of 15 at risk

87%Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

87%Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

87%Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

85%Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

85%Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

Wage Comparison

Sailors and Marine Oilers earns -$27,790(-36%) vs Locomotive Engineers

Locomotive EngineersSailors and Marine Oilers

10th

$60,980$33,350

25th

$73,410$38,450

Median

$77,400$49,610

75th

$84,230$65,370

90th

$100,690$81,890

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Locomotive Engineers2028–2035

Sailors and Marine Oilers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Sailors and Marine Oilers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Locomotive Engineers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Locomotive Engineers

$43,282

from $77,400

Sailors and Marine Oilers

$34,385

from $49,610

After adjusting for AI risk, Locomotive Engineers offers $8,897 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Locomotive

Unique to Sailors

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence

Fine Manipulation

Creativity

Regulatory Barriers

Locomotive EngineersSailors and Marine Oilers

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