Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricManufacturing Production TechniciansComputer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score40.5%43.1%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile82th88th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)10 / 1515 / 15
Median Salary$77,390N/A
Employment64KN/A

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Equipment MaintenanceAI-Resistant
Controlling Machines and Processes
Computers and Electronics
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Repairing
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Mathematical Reasoning
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Engineering and Technology
Information OrderingAI-Vulnerable

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Manufacturing Production Technicians

30%

total discount

Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Manufacturing Production Technicians

10 of 15 at risk
86%Plan and lay out work to meet production and schedule requirements.
82%Select cleaning materials, tools, or equipment.
78%Adhere to all applicable regulations, policies, and procedures for health, safety, and environmental compliance.
65%Inspect finished products for quality and adherence to customer specifications.
61%Test products or subassemblies for functionality or quality.

Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic

15 of 15 at risk
87%Write instruction sheets and cutter lists for a machine's controller to guide setup and encode numerical control tapes.
87%Enter computer commands to store or retrieve parts patterns, graphic displays, or programs that transfer data to other media.
87%Sort shop orders into groups to maximize materials utilization and minimize machine setup time.
86%Order tooling for jobs.
85%Prepare geometric layouts from graphic displays, using computer-assisted drafting software or drafting instruments and graph paper.

Wage Comparison

Manufacturing Production TechniciansComputer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic
10th
$47,010N/A
25th
$59,700N/A
Median
$77,390N/A
75th
$97,760N/A
90th
$114,630N/A

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Manufacturing Production Technicians20282035
Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic20282035
20242030203520402045

Manufacturing Production Technicians has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Manufacturing

0

Unique to Computer

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Manufacturing Production TechniciansComputer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic