Takeover Tracker
40%medium risk
Manufacturing Production Technicians
vs

49 shared · 26 different

core competencies

32%medium risk
Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricManufacturing Production TechniciansPatternmakers, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score40.5%31.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile82th48th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)10 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$77,390$54,540
Employment64K2K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Documenting/Recording Information
Computers and Electronics
Equipment MaintenanceAI-Resistant
Mechanical
Engineering and Technology
Troubleshooting
Interacting With Computers
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Repairing
Analyzing Data or Information
Getting Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Manufacturing Production Technicians

30%

total discount

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Manufacturing Production Technicians

10 of 15 at risk
86%Plan and lay out work to meet production and schedule requirements.
82%Select cleaning materials, tools, or equipment.
78%Adhere to all applicable regulations, policies, and procedures for health, safety, and environmental compliance.
65%Inspect finished products for quality and adherence to customer specifications.
61%Test products or subassemblies for functionality or quality.

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
84%Select pattern materials such as wood, resin, and fiberglass.
73%Program computerized numerical control machine tools.
59%Mark identification numbers or symbols onto patterns or templates.
57%Paint or lacquer patterns.
55%Create computer models of patterns or parts, using modeling software.

Wage Comparison

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic earns -$22,850(-30%) vs Manufacturing Production Technicians
Manufacturing Production TechniciansPatternmakers, Metal and Plastic
10th
$47,010$39,150
25th
$59,700$47,520
Median
$77,390$54,540
75th
$97,760$66,590
90th
$114,630$79,690

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Manufacturing Production Technicians2028–2035
Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Manufacturing Production Technicians.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Manufacturing Production Technicians

$46,063

from $77,390

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

$37,284

from $54,540

After adjusting for AI risk, Manufacturing Production Technicians offers $8,779 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Manufacturing

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Manufacturing Production TechniciansPatternmakers, Metal and Plastic
Find transitions from Manufacturing Production TechniciansFind transitions from Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic