Takeover Tracker
32%medium risk
Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge
vs

66 shared · 24 different

core competencies

24%low risk
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMates- Ship, Boat, and BargeHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Risk Score32.1%23.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile52th16th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 128 / 15
Median Salary$85,540$57,440
Employment35K2.1M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Response Orientation
Coaching and Developing Others
Training and Teaching Others
Handling and Moving Objects
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Oral Comprehension
Oral Expression
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Management of Personnel Resources
Mechanical

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge

32%

total discount

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge

4 of 12 at risk
85%Arrange for ships to be stocked, fueled, or repaired.
79%Observe water from ships' mastheads to advise on navigational direction.
77%Observe loading or unloading of cargo or equipment to ensure that handling and storage are performed according to specifications.
61%Determine geographical positions of ships, using lorans, azimuths of celestial bodies, or computers, and use this information to determine the course and speed of a ship.
49%Stand watches on vessels during specified periods while vessels are under way.

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

8 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.
88%Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.
88%Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.
88%Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.
86%Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

Wage Comparison

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers earns -$28,100(-33%) vs Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge
Mates- Ship, Boat, and BargeHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
10th
$46,260$38,640
25th
$60,800$47,230
Median
$85,540$57,440
75th
$124,530$65,520
90th
$164,230$78,800

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge2028–2035
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge

$58,065

from $85,540

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

$43,884

from $57,440

After adjusting for AI risk, Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge offers $14,180 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Mates-

0

Unique to Heavy

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Mates- Ship, Boat, and BargeHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Find transitions from Mates- Ship, Boat, and BargeFind transitions from Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers