Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical EducationElementary School Teachers, Except Special Education
Risk Score25.7%29.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile21th37th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$62,970$62,340
Employment620K1.4M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Processing Information
Customer and Personal Service
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Originality
Administration and Management
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Analyzing Data or Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

34%

total discount

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

35%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

8 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain accurate, complete, and correct student records as required by laws, district policies, and administrative regulations.
70%Use computers, audio-visual aids, and other equipment and materials to supplement presentations.
67%Prepare, administer, and grade tests and assignments to evaluate students' progress.
56%Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
55%Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects, and communicate these objectives to students.

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

6 of 15 at risk
66%Enforce administration policies and rules governing students.
61%Provide a variety of materials and resources for children to explore, manipulate, and use, both in learning activities and in imaginative play.
56%Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
55%Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects and communicate those objectives to students.
53%Plan and conduct activities for a balanced program of instruction, demonstration, and work time that provides students with opportunities to observe, question, and investigate.

Wage Comparison

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education earns -$630(-1%) vs Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical EducationElementary School Teachers, Except Special Education
10th
$47,050$46,440
25th
$53,540$50,680
Median
$62,970$62,340
75th
$79,380$79,410
90th
$100,980$102,010

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education20282035
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education20282035
20242030203520402045

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

$46,799

from $62,970

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

$43,819

from $62,340

After adjusting for AI risk, Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education offers $2,981 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Middle

0

Unique to Elementary

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical EducationElementary School Teachers, Except Special Education