Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical EducationSpecial Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School
Risk Score25.7%26.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile21th24th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$62,970$63,000
Employment620K232K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Getting Information
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Performing Administrative Activities
Interacting With Computers
Thinking Creatively
Processing Information
History and Archeology
Assisting and Caring for Others
Coaching and Developing Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

34%

total discount

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

8 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain accurate, complete, and correct student records as required by laws, district policies, and administrative regulations.
70%Use computers, audio-visual aids, and other equipment and materials to supplement presentations.
67%Prepare, administer, and grade tests and assignments to evaluate students' progress.
56%Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
55%Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects, and communicate these objectives to students.

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

6 of 15 at risk
84%Maintain accurate and complete student records as required by laws, district policies, or administrative regulations.
71%Prepare reports on students and activities as required by administration.
71%Prepare, administer, or grade tests or assignments to evaluate students' progress.
55%Modify the general kindergarten or elementary education curriculum for special-needs students.
53%Develop individual educational plans (IEPs) designed to promote students' educational, physical, or social development.

Wage Comparison

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School earns +$30(+0%) vs Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical EducationSpecial Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School
10th
$47,050$47,590
25th
$53,540$57,050
Median
$62,970$63,000
75th
$79,380$79,320
90th
$100,980$100,620

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education20282035
Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School20282035
20242030203520402045

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

$46,799

from $62,970

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

$46,242

from $63,000

After adjusting for AI risk, Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education offers $557 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Middle

0

Unique to Special

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical EducationSpecial Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School