Takeover Tracker
28%medium risk
Model Makers, Metal and Plastic
vs

50 shared · 11 different

core competencies

32%medium risk
Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricModel Makers, Metal and PlasticPatternmakers, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score28.1%31.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile30th48th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$62,700$54,540
Employment3K2K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Production and Processing
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Troubleshooting
Reaction Time
Handling and Moving Objects
Processing Information
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Model Makers, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Model Makers, Metal and Plastic

6 of 15 at risk
85%Record specifications, production operations, and final dimensions of models for use in establishing operating standards and procedures.
70%Inspect and test products to verify conformance to specifications, using precision measuring instruments or circuit testers.
66%Lay out and mark reference points and dimensions on materials, using measuring instruments and drawing or scribing tools.
55%Program computer numerical control (CNC) machines to fabricate model parts.
55%Use computer-aided design (CAD) and computer-aided manufacture (CAM) software or hardware to fabricate model parts.

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
84%Select pattern materials such as wood, resin, and fiberglass.
73%Program computerized numerical control machine tools.
59%Mark identification numbers or symbols onto patterns or templates.
57%Paint or lacquer patterns.
55%Create computer models of patterns or parts, using modeling software.

Wage Comparison

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic earns -$8,160(-13%) vs Model Makers, Metal and Plastic
Model Makers, Metal and PlasticPatternmakers, Metal and Plastic
10th
$38,430$39,150
25th
$48,860$47,520
Median
$62,700$54,540
75th
$79,470$66,590
90th
$95,780$79,690

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Model Makers, Metal and Plastic2028–2035
Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Model Makers, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Model Makers, Metal and Plastic

$45,062

from $62,700

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

$37,284

from $54,540

After adjusting for AI risk, Model Makers, Metal and Plastic offers $7,779 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Model

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Model Makers, Metal and PlasticPatternmakers, Metal and Plastic
Find transitions from Model Makers, Metal and PlasticFind transitions from Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic